bturtel's submissions

1.		A small economic forecaster trained from raw Fed PDFs beat GPT-5 (lightningrod.ai)
		5 points by bturtel 4 days ago \| past \| discuss
2.		Show HN: Open-source LLM and dataset for sports forecasting (Pro Golf) (huggingface.co)
		7 points by bturtel 62 days ago \| past
3.		Show HN: Trained an LLM to predict "What will Trump do?" (huggingface.co)
		10 points by bturtel 66 days ago \| past \| 2 comments
4.		What can't be automated? The Last Human Bottleneck (bturtel.substack.com)
		2 points by bturtel 76 days ago \| past
5.		Future-as-Label: Scalable Supervision from Real-World Outcomes (arxiv.org)
		17 points by bturtel 3 months ago \| past
6.		TMLR: Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (openreview.net)
		4 points by bturtel 4 months ago \| past \| 1 comment
7.		Natural Selection Is Already Shaping AI (bturtel.substack.com)
		2 points by bturtel 5 months ago \| past
8.		Flooding the AI Frontier (bturtel.substack.com)
		2 points by bturtel 7 months ago \| past
9.		Foresight-32B Beats Frontier LLMs on Live Polymarket Predictions (lightningrod.ai)
		6 points by bturtel 8 months ago \| past
10.		Why Apple Will (Eventually) Win AI (bturtel.substack.com)
		7 points by bturtel 9 months ago \| past
11.		Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (arxiv.org)
		99 points by bturtel 11 months ago \| past \| 15 comments
12.		What remains scarce post-AGI? (bturtel.substack.com)
		1 point by bturtel 11 months ago \| past \| 1 comment
13.		Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future (vox.com)
		5 points by bturtel 11 months ago \| past \| 1 comment
14.		LLMs can teach themselves to better predict the future (arxiv.org)
		176 points by bturtel on Feb 11, 2025 \| past \| 86 comments
15.		Show HN: Sculptor – Python library for LLM structured data extraction (MIT) (github.com/lightning-rod-labs)
		9 points by bturtel on Jan 14, 2025 \| past
16.		Show HN: Pensive – AI mental health coaching backed by science (pensiveapp.com)
		8 points by bturtel on Dec 9, 2024 \| past \| 2 comments
17.		Sunlight is more effective than censorship (cointelegraph.com)
		4 points by bturtel on Nov 20, 2024 \| past \| 3 comments