| | AI forecasting benchmarking results Q1 (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by FergusArgyll 5 months ago | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030? (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by roenxi 10 months ago | past | 2 comments |
|
| | ACX 2025 Prediction Contest (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by kqr 10 months ago | past |
|
| | Scott Alexander contest. Predict what happens in 2025. $10k prize pool (metaculus.com) |
| 4 points by metaculusChris 10 months ago | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Metaculus is going open source (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by kqr on Oct 8, 2024 | past |
|
| | Metaculus: A Rewrite, a Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by EvgeniyZh on Oct 7, 2024 | past |
|
| | The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by fouc on Sept 11, 2024 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | The AI Forecasting Benchmark Series, $120k in Prizes (metaculus.com) |
| 3 points by elsewhen on June 27, 2024 | past |
|
| | Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025? (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by ironyman on April 24, 2024 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | ACX 2024 Prediction Contest (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by kqr on Dec 26, 2023 | past |
|
| | 2024 US Election Forecast Map. You can predict %s for each state (metaculus.com) |
| 12 points by avionical on Dec 20, 2023 | past |
|
| | Chinese AI Chips Tournament (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by birriel on Dec 6, 2023 | past |
|
| | AI summaries of the factors that will determine if some future event happens (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by avionical on Nov 10, 2023 | past |
|
| | When will AI be able to infer the ending of the book “I Want My Hat Back”? (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by ruuda on July 28, 2023 | past |
|
| | Will first independent replication attempt confirm superconductivity in LK-99? (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by mhb on July 27, 2023 | past |
|
| | Will the first replication confirm room-temperature superconductivity in LK-99? (metaculus.com) |
| 5 points by mutant_glofish on July 27, 2023 | past |
|
| | Metaculus (metaculus.com) |
| 111 points by kqr on July 15, 2023 | past | 23 comments |
|
| | The future of AI according to thousands of forecasters (metaculus.com) |
| 93 points by ddp26 on June 27, 2023 | past | 81 comments |
|
| | I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Nuclear Forecasting (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by pupperino on May 3, 2023 | past |
|
| | Metaculus's Forecast Fridays (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by avionical on April 27, 2023 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Crowd-based forecasting site Metaculus (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by Jupe on April 16, 2023 | past |
|
| | Community prediction of weak AGI arrival: Oct 10, 2025 (metaculus.com) |
| 2 points by mpoon on March 24, 2023 | past |
|
| | Will majority of US Intel support Covid lab leak hypothesis over natural origin? (metaculus.com) |
| 3 points by ironyman on Oct 30, 2022 | past | 1 comment |
|
| | Forecasting Our World in Data – Metaculus (metaculus.com) |
| 4 points by _Microft on Oct 12, 2022 | past |
|
| | Metaculus (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by vincent_s on Oct 6, 2022 | past |
|
| | Metaculus - A reputation-based, prediction solicitation and aggregation engine (metaculus.com) |
| 3 points by birriel on Sept 27, 2022 | past |
|
| | Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032? (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by rendall on Aug 18, 2022 | past |
|
| | Metaculus (metaculus.com) |
| 3 points by saikan on June 11, 2022 | past |
|
| | Metaculus AGI forecast date just crashed to Nov 2026 (metaculus.com) |
| 3 points by alexwg on May 13, 2022 | past |
|
| | Substance is all you need (metaculus.com) |
| 1 point by SemanticStrengh on May 1, 2022 | past |
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| More |
