I don't think anyone claimed that there was 1:1 relationship between the volume of this (or any other) fraud and a change in bitcoin's market cap. As far as bitcoin is concerned, the particular details of the fraud are entirely irrelevant.
I don't think anyone was as exactly specific as that, but in reading discussions of MMM's possible contribution, the description was almost universally (on Reddit and HN) comparing, explicitly or implicitly, the previous MMM's total volume to the Bitcoin market cap, showing that pretty much everyone seems to have been intuitively confusing stocks with flows - the unspoken argument seems to be 'the old MMM's total was about as large Bitcoin's market cap is now; the new MMM is also quite large and may be a large fraction of Bitcoin's market cap; therefore, the recent near-doubling of Bitcoin's market cap may be mostly or all due to new MMM's large total'.