Given COVID prevalence in my state (approx 1 out of 10,000 people test positive each day, so assume 20 out of 10,000 are infectious at the moment), and the IFR for those under 50 of about 0.01% (1 out of 10,000 coincidentally), I would have to come into close contact with 20 people over the time from when I could get the J&J shot to when I could get Pfizer or Moderna.
That's not anti-vax denialism, those are the actual numbers. A one in a million risk isn't a good deal for the individual when case rates and IFR are low.
This would be a good deal if you were in Michigan, or if you were over 65.
Birthday paradox means ten not 20 and while I MIGHT be able to go two weeks without encountering ten others my oldest son works at a restaurant, my wife at a school, and my youngest son is full-time HS student. They meet 20 people a day easily and live with me at home.
That's not anti-vax denialism, those are the actual numbers. A one in a million risk isn't a good deal for the individual when case rates and IFR are low.
This would be a good deal if you were in Michigan, or if you were over 65.