Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

> Stock rises after company announces broad restructuring plan focused on driving ‘profitable growth’

Could someone explain how layoffs lead to stock rises in layman terms?



Company makes $2B/year profit with 75k employees.

Company lays off 7500 people, saving ~$1.5B / year in payroll / benefits / office space / etc.

Company takes one-time ~$1.5B charge for severance and other layoff costs.

Investors believe company will see ~$1B more net profit in subsequent years, assuming 10% staff reduction can be absorbed with little profit impact.

Share price reflects NPV of future profits, so stock rises.


At my first job they would lay off employees, then systems would fail and the person who could fix it was laid off. Eventually a big customer would complain and the company would incur monetary SLA penalties for the systems being down. They would have to hire the laid off guy back as a contractor and pay some company $100+ an hour for a $30 (at the time) an hour salary employee.

Eventually someone with a brain would realize they are hemorrhaging money and hire the guy back full time and even make it look like he was never laid off for 2 years contracting so he would keep his seniority benefits. My coworkers with 20+ years said this happened over and over again. I left and everyone was laid off in 6 months…


It SOMETIMES works. You lay off 50 people and only have to contract back one or two and it’s a net savings.

But often it’s just boardroom machinations for various reasons that can change as quickly as the weather.

I know people who made a good living being the layoff/callback dude for years. Basically considered it a 3-6 mo vacation every couple years. “Oh you want me to come in to consult? I’m in the Bahamas- it’s gonna costya”


> I know people who made a good living being the layoff/callback dude for years.

That's hilariously inefficient. I would be mad if I were a shareholder in this business, but good for those employees in question who were savvy.


Then you probably don't want to be a shareholder at all; I'm pretty sure any business that is publicly traded has done it at one time or another.


Yeah that’s bad management.

The trick is understanding when part of the company is genuinely not contributing, and since things are complicated, what other parts are entangled and need to be adjusted as part of the plan.

Just randomly laying off x% is like randomly removing x% of code to improve performance. It’s going to produce more pain than gain.


I’m pretty sure upper management just dictated cost savings amounts per org and delegated it down. Middle management met and figured out what salaries fit cost savings and saved themselves above all.


Super dumb way to run a company but I’m sure there are plenty like that.


It usually works, because it usually takes years for the loss of people to have an impact on revenue. By that time, investors already realized their gain and moved their money into another company, leaving someone else holding the bag.


Stockholders likely think Salesforce had too much fluff and can get the same results with fewer staff.

For example I believe they were working on some sort of solution for managing NFTs.


Ex employee here. Salesforce was the most laid back, rest and vest, coasting culture in my experience. Generous employee benefits, absolutely no work pressure. They took pride in their work life balance. Many employees (in product and marketing) were just focusing on (flavor of the day) activism - BLM, AAPI, GLBT, Homelessness in SFO. I always wondered if these employees had any 'actual job' in the company or their managers even cared what their team delivers. As an employee it was great. As an ex employee whose vested RSUs are more than 50% down from it's peak, it sucked. While I feel bad for those who are laid off, this downsizing was written on the wall.


Can you describe what changes you think should be made to that culture? How do you balance what sounds like great work/life balance and awareness of Salesforce's impact outside of strictly its business activities, which is something I'd expect from a "good" employer, with the potential downsides of (paraphrasing your words) "employees focusing on [not an "actual job"]"?

Do you think those colleagues didn't contribute anything as far as their job title?


Yeah IMO those colleagues didn't pull their weight to justify their titles (Sr. Director whatever). While Salesforce's titles are very inflated (Director at Salesforce maps to L6 in other companies), these were still senior talented folks drawing good salaries. I never saw if actually delivered something. Salesforce ecosystem (Salesforce partners, consultants, customers etc) is great. but I am not very convinced by Salesforce's impact outside of its business activities. Their 1-1-1 pledge or stakeholder capitalism model isn't genuine. These are PR stunts where Salesforce could post some rainbow flag pictures or Matthew Mc's videos about global warming on social media. During my tenure at Salesforce it was possible to work for single digit hours per week and still be a top performer. The rest of the 'work' time was occupied by team socials, VTO activities and other shenanigans.

Having said that the number one thing Salesforce should culturally do is put more focus on what it's customers need. It is a sales and marketing organization, which it is very very very good at. But you can't just keep up by upselling stuff to customers. If you don't keep your customers happy, all this WLB doesn't really help.


Wasn't this promoted from the very top? Marc Benioff's fetishization of Hawaiian culture and the whole Ohana thing. They only slowed down with it a few years ago. But they were always awkwardly promoting a prosocial conscious image.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/salesforce-is-ditching-its-awk...


Yes it was absolutely promoted from the top. There was a meditation room in Salesforce tower as well as regional headquarters. We had meditation experts and monks (remember Gavin Belson's spiritual friend from Silicon Valley?) join all hands meetings. During pandemic there were biweekly wellness hours on EVERYONE's calendar where people could optionally do guided meditation for a couple of hours. Just last year I saw they announced some wellness ranch. Probably a five star holiday resort for employees I guess. (I wasn't employee then so just guessing). Employees were required to put in VTO hours every year. VTO goals were part of many team's V2MOM (just google this acronym for details). I am not sure if Salesforce bean counters considered ROI due to this PR branding when it was strictly enforced, nevertheless it wasn't contributing to improvement in quality of products, innovation, customer's experience and revenues.


I've never seen the market react negatively to layoffs themselves. As far as I can tell most traders and fund managers believe all employees are interchangeable widgets.


same explanation on how a PR that removes more lines of code than it writes can be good for the overall system


Lowering costs --> higher profits.


Why not fire 100% of employees in that case?


You guys always take it to the extreme. It's an optimization problem. The market thinks 10% is a pretty good number that will translate into higher profits, likely because they believe the people laid off are non-essential to the business.

I don't know what percentage is too much, all I know is that the stock market is not the economy, and things that tend to be good news for workers and main street tend to be bad for the stock market. For instance, in the past ~6 months the labor market continues to be strong reporting many job openings, which is good for workers as this allows them to seek higher-paying wages. But the market went down after each report because it meant that JPow would further increase interest rates, which are bad for the majority of businesses since they don't have positive free cash flows and rely on zero interest rates to continue operating with debt.

We've been living in the upside down for a while now. And gravity is coming back :)


Salesforce employee count doubled since the pandemic started. Doesn't seem unreasonable to believe some of those employees can be cut without affecting revenue too much.


Because then the company can't operate? Is it really that hard to understand?


Well I understand it, but the analogy I was trying to illustrate is that in theory, 10% of a workforce produces something, and while it costs something to employ them, it also costs something to lose their employment. In theory. Otherwise, why were they hired to begin with?


There are inefficiencies in every organization. It's not like 100% of the workforce is 100% productive and critical to operations. You can cut a lot more than 10% before it starts to affect the business in a meaningful way.


Makes one wonder why they were ever employed if they don't impact the business in a meaningful way


It suggests greater profitability due to lower ongoing headcount costs? Or decisive changes towards increased profitability?

Also, sometimes I suspect that the market moves on news -- not because the news actually affects some prospects so much -- but because some other people can make money on the movement, and the news is just an excuse/tool.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: