> if that _does_ happen, what unemployment numbers are you expecting to see in that time period
None, because we always want more. No technological advancement until now has caused people (in general) to stop wanting more and enjoy doing less work with the same output. We just increase output and consume that output too.
Betteridge's Law: no.
Even the much more limited claim of AI replacing all white-collar keyboard-and-email jobs in that time frame looks questionable. And the capex is in trouble: https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-pulls-back-more...
On the other hand, if that _does_ happen, what unemployment numbers are you expecting to see in that time period?