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China will invade Taiwan when they start losing, not when they're increasingly winning.

As long as "tomorrow" is a better day to invade Taiwan than today is, China will wait for tomorrow.



Their demographics beg to differ.


If demographics were a big deal, it'd be part of the same "better to invade today or tomorrow" calculation.

Zeihan's predictions on China have been fabulously wrong for 20+ years now.




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