I'm not entirely sure, but I have been able to figure a few things out.
By running some simulations by shuffling the range from 1 to n (with n going from 3 to 7), I found that at least one of the most common permutations had always started with 2. I'm unable to come up with a reason to explain this, but I was able to figure out something else interesting.
Imagining that the deck is vertical and going through each card and swapping it with a random card in the deck, the random card that has been swapped will never move further up the deck while the other card can still possibly move further up the deck. This implies that cards at the top of the deck should stay near the top and the cards at the bottom should stay near the bottom. I tested this by taking the sum of the sums of the first half of all the permutations and the sum of the sums of the second half of all the permutations and found that the total sum of the first halves was slightly smaller than the total sum of the second halves.
n first halves | second halves
3 53 | 54
4 1265 | 1295
5 18322 | 18976
6 461683 | 498093
7 9638931 10051128
So it seems that cards starting near the top are more likely to end up near the top and cards starting near the bottom are more likely to end up near the bottom.
Note: for odd numbers I threw out the middle number.
By running some simulations by shuffling the range from 1 to n (with n going from 3 to 7), I found that at least one of the most common permutations had always started with 2. I'm unable to come up with a reason to explain this, but I was able to figure out something else interesting.
Imagining that the deck is vertical and going through each card and swapping it with a random card in the deck, the random card that has been swapped will never move further up the deck while the other card can still possibly move further up the deck. This implies that cards at the top of the deck should stay near the top and the cards at the bottom should stay near the bottom. I tested this by taking the sum of the sums of the first half of all the permutations and the sum of the sums of the second half of all the permutations and found that the total sum of the first halves was slightly smaller than the total sum of the second halves.
So it seems that cards starting near the top are more likely to end up near the top and cards starting near the bottom are more likely to end up near the bottom.Note: for odd numbers I threw out the middle number.